USAID/TSP HIV Child and Adolescent ARV Procurement Forecasting Tool

Forecasting ToolThe USAID/TSP HIV Child and Adolescent ARV Procurement Forecasting Tool is intended to assist program managers, clinicians and support staff in quantifying and budgeting for a program’s child and adolescent ARV needs. The tool: i) allows the user to insert the number of children and adolescents needing ARVs; and ii) provides an output describing how the children and adolescents are expected to transition into different weight bands over time. This tool is dynamic in that it allows the user to customize both age and weight bands.

The tool’s forecasting is based on data collected on approximately 20,000 children and adolescents on ARVs across seven Baylor International Pediatric AIDS Initiative Network at Texas Children’s Hospital (BIPAI) Centers of Excellence (COE) during the time frame of 2006-2017. These BIPAI COEs are inclusive of the following countries: Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Malawi, Tanzania, and Uganda.

The Technical Support to PEPFAR Programs in the Southern Africa Region (TSP) project is implemented by Baylor College of Medicine Children’s Foundation Malawi with USAID funding. The project – including the research and development of the forecasting tool – was conducted in collaboration with Baylor College of Medicine's Global TB Program.

Download the Forecasting Tool

Download the Forecasting Tool Manual

Access the tool demonstration webinar recording here